Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 8.964987 10.458498 12.091416 14.004970 16.181389 18.575115 21.402371
2026-01-25 6.250479 8.214394 10.588424 13.648683 17.465828 22.045116 27.926853
2026-02-01 4.671693 6.763886 9.504985 13.312643 18.410363 24.938193 33.857216
2026-02-08 3.562597 5.614084 8.495518 12.760293 18.817102 26.999396 38.751628
2026-02-15 2.809767 4.779650 7.723840 12.331474 19.218272 28.956778 43.546394
2026-02-22 2.430184 4.417264 7.549863 12.689465 20.706535 32.479405 50.735351
2026-03-01 2.134437 4.125735 7.422764 13.069306 22.221564 36.120163 58.337519
2026-03-08 1.756310 3.619011 6.863037 12.667120 22.445636 37.801372 63.098277
2026-03-15 1.470173 3.220666 6.419084 12.381222 22.793209 39.655715 68.209082
2026-03-22 1.358798 3.132539 6.504586 13.005101 24.692772 44.096883 77.684140
2026-03-29 1.235534 2.997044 6.479920 13.418961 26.253642 48.079076 86.663602
2026-04-05 1.087288 2.780941 6.268298 13.454696 27.135064 50.968170 94.004032
2026-04-12 0.943070 2.559222 6.040073 13.483783 28.105036 54.252009 102.553015
2026-04-19 0.785376 2.275147 5.645447 13.147399 28.386259 56.405894 109.426279
2026-04-26 0.655250 2.026473 5.283488 12.823879 28.648771 58.536246 116.409254
2026-05-03 0.534047 1.768806 4.853774 12.289832 28.422086 59.725031 121.755492
2026-05-10 0.440890 1.561911 4.503731 11.875101 28.380257 61.235731 127.771273
2026-05-17 0.400221 1.496779 4.489403 12.221388 29.968009 66.004754 140.220093
2026-05-24 0.365103 1.439561 4.485167 12.588844 31.632650 71.039585 153.493261
2026-05-31 0.304348 1.282053 4.186749 12.199776 31.580147 72.610522 160.119565
2026-06-07 0.257134 1.155414 3.948124 11.923233 31.745953 74.627282 167.741365
2026-06-14 0.243726 1.146717 4.045568 12.526730 34.011761 81.187762 184.903639
2026-06-21 0.225279 1.113791 4.065689 12.927132 35.830700 86.916771 200.695608